Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 2.145136 2.450481 2.784711 3.177859 3.627882 4.127194 4.723623
2025-08-10 1.643828 2.048898 2.532799 3.154171 3.932088 4.875422 6.108777
2025-08-17 1.353883 1.791003 2.345349 3.101328 4.107944 5.405806 7.212320
2025-08-24 1.192722 1.656638 2.274508 3.159856 4.400156 6.082373 8.548493
2025-08-31 1.067257 1.546178 2.211647 3.207008 4.664335 6.729957 9.898308
2025-09-07 0.948258 1.426206 2.115833 3.187543 4.819697 7.226088 11.069861
2025-09-14 0.840886 1.308419 2.006499 3.129742 4.902862 7.612735 12.104677
2025-09-21 0.757810 1.216788 1.924140 3.099603 5.017991 8.049456 13.250911
2025-09-28 0.683656 1.130292 1.839218 3.053271 5.097223 8.429559 14.335087
2025-10-05 0.669200 1.138209 1.904246 3.255012 5.598985 9.538468 16.743646
2025-10-12 0.622971 1.087797 1.867412 3.279953 5.801063 10.159938 18.370068
2025-10-19 0.593149 1.062180 1.869145 3.369915 6.122025 11.011893 20.487281
2025-10-26 0.543529 1.000789 1.809938 3.358832 6.285601 11.645369 22.363536
2025-11-02 0.495705 0.938431 1.744166 3.331687 6.422804 12.257630 24.300511
2025-11-09 0.450094 0.874788 1.668545 3.275892 6.496103 12.752277 26.059564
2025-11-16 0.424262 0.846023 1.655047 3.337785 6.804440 13.732285 28.910382
2025-11-23 0.399587 0.816686 1.636975 3.387651 7.092435 14.700316 31.850521
2025-11-30 0.369876 0.773878 1.587494 3.367065 7.230703 15.373541 34.237154
2025-12-07 0.339229 0.725846 1.522344 3.305937 7.274658 15.850208 36.244177
2025-12-14 0.314386 0.687514 1.473412 3.274065 7.377931 16.464034 38.633271
2025-12-21 0.290460 0.648690 1.419482 3.225067 7.436663 16.983620 40.863302
2025-12-28 0.289803 0.661451 1.478963 3.438420 8.120078 18.995270 46.908631
2026-01-04 0.274533 0.639406 1.458682 3.464798 8.366589 20.016084 50.647323